Kind of reminds me of replicating Demonoid thing...otismo wrote: March 25th, 2020, 10:51 am What if it is an intelligent virus ?
Every iteration implementing what it learned in the previous one...
no thanksotismo wrote: March 25th, 2020, 10:51 am What if it is an intelligent virus ?
Every iteration implementing what it learned in the previous one...
SC is South Carolina, right..?83bismuth38 wrote: March 26th, 2020, 8:15 am
SC seems fine for now, (still self-quarantining) and online classes are more enjoyable, but my school, as usual, doesn't know how to put it's teachers into a schedule
隋朝(Sui Dynasty)?宋朝(Song Dynasty)?四常(Familiar Four)?输出(output)?生成(generate)?删除(deletion)?收藏(collection)?Saka wrote: March 26th, 2020, 8:53 amSC is South Carolina, right..?83bismuth38 wrote: March 26th, 2020, 8:15 am
SC seems fine for now, (still self-quarantining) and online classes are more enjoyable, but my school, as usual, doesn't know how to put it's teachers into a schedule
also, why the heck is toilet paper of all things the first thing off the shelves? there has to be some root to this..
Sichuan? Southern California? Seychelles? Scandinavia?
why do they give you free napkins with fast food ?83bismuth38 wrote: March 26th, 2020, 8:15 amno thanksotismo wrote: March 25th, 2020, 10:51 am What if it is an intelligent virus ?
Every iteration implementing what it learned in the previous one...
SC seems fine for now, (still self-quarantining) and online classes are more enjoyable, but my school, as usual, doesn't know how to put it's teachers into a schedule
also, why the heck is toilet paper of all things the first thing off the shelves? there has to be some root to this..
I hope you weren't trying to make fun of me there by typing an accent..otismo wrote: March 26th, 2020, 2:26 pm why do they give you free napkins with fast food ?
make sure u take enuf to wipe yer butt...
South Carolina, yep.Saka wrote: March 26th, 2020, 8:53 am SC is South Carolina, right..?
Sichuan? Southern California? Seychelles? Scandinavia?
It may last until a vaccine or some other effective treatment exists, which is longer than half a year. If we get the raging pandemic under control, we may have something like a new normal of fighting brush fires around the globe with localized lockdowns. There will be new economic opportunities, of course, and already are. But it will be a long time before those opportunities make up for the losses, and many people will be left out.simsim314 wrote: March 28th, 2020, 9:17 am I'm also believing corona will continue for half a year so new economical opportunities with the internet technologies should come up, as the market always adapts to new situation. If free market is trying to emulate evolution, so now it's the time when the meteor hits.
Code: Select all
Start with n_hidden = 1
for t = 0, 1, 2, ...
n_new_cases = r * n_hidden if t<Tq else 0
n_new_detected = s * n_hidden
n_hidden = n_hidden + n_new_cases - n_new_detected
Code: Select all
n_hidden = 1
n_detected = 0
r = 0.1
s = 0.1
t_q = 200
for t in range(0, 100):
n_new_cases = r * n_hidden if t < t_q else 0
n_new_detected = s * n_hidden
print("%15.0f %15.0f %15.0f %15.0f" %
(n_hidden, n_new_cases, n_new_detected, n_detected))
n_hidden += n_new_cases - n_new_detected
n_detected += n_new_detected
Yeah, we're in this twilight area where you can pretend things are normal if you're not looking ahead. They are very far from normal and we will never go back. It's especially unnerving for me with a job that has not really changed much except WFH. Obviously, none of the business plans set a few months ago apply to the future, except by sheer luck.otismo wrote: March 28th, 2020, 3:04 pm first global incident ( financial panic ) 1857 ( shortly after Crystal Palace Exhibition, London, 1850 )
the interesting $3 Trillion response begs the question of when will people realize that we are not going back to
"the way things were before"
even though it may sure feel like it, for a while...
the journey into the abnormal is becoming surreal
Code: Select all
\left\{x<0:e^{5x},\ x\ge0:e^{-x}\right\}Code: Select all
\int_{-100}^{x}\left\{t<0:e^{5t},\ t\ge0:e^{-t}\right\}dtCode: Select all
\left(\int_{-100}^{x}\left\{t<0:e^{5t},\ t\ge0:e^{-t}\right\}dt\right)\cdot\left\{x<-1:0,\ x\ge-1:e^{-x}\right\}Code: Select all
import random
def p_s(T, t):
return 0.1 if T < 100 else 0
def p_d(t):
return 0.05
def p_r(t):
return 0.0097
def p_f(t):
return 0.0003
patients = [("undetected", 0)] * 10
print("time_step undetected detected recovered deceased")
for T in range(0, 1000):
next_patients = []
for (state, t) in patients:
if state == "undetected":
if random.random() < p_s(T, t):
next_patients.append(("undetected", 0))
if random.random() < p_d(t):
state = "detected"
if state in ["undetected", "detected"]:
# this is introduces a small order dependency since we check recovery first
if random.random() < p_r(t):
state = "recovered"
elif random.random() < p_f(t):
state = "deceased"
next_patients.append((state, t + 1))
patients = next_patients
counts = {}
for state, _ in patients:
counts[state] = counts.get(state, 0) + 1
print("%d %d %d %d %d" %
tuple([T] + [counts.get(key, 0)
for key in ["undetected", "detected", "recovered", "deceased"]]))
if "undetected" not in counts and "detected" not in counts:
break
Code: Select all
def p_d(t):
return 0.05 if t > 5 else 0
Makes me think of the reploops... A rule that have reploops that uses such encode anyone?otismo wrote: April 9th, 2020, 1:49 am SO
if it is a biologically encoded
command - and - control nanostructure
there would have to be two groups playing ping-pong
to keep the system both ALIVE and OPERATIVE - I nominate BUILDERS/DESTROYERS